Thursday, March 25, 2010

Expiry


Expired all NIFTY March contracts at underlying price 5210 with a 12k profit for the month of March.

Even though in the green, but crap profit for all the risk and money put in (3% returns for the month). Still holding stock futures and I'm now good on the 4836 <--> 5441 for the month of april.


Underlying Price P&L
4,738 -4,900.00
4,838 100.00
4,938 5,100.00
5,038 10,100.00
5,138 11,300.00
5,238 8,200.00
5,338 8,200.00
5,438 600.00
5,538 -19,400.00
5,638 -39,400.00
5,738 -59,400.00

Current Positions:-

Security Net Qty Net Rate LTP
MOSERBAE FS XX 4950 74.4 74.15
29/04/2010 -0.01
NIFTY OI CE -200 42.07 46
29/04/2010 5400.00
NIFTY OI PE 50 89.2 78.05
29/04/2010 5200.00
NIFTY OI PE -100 57 50.75
29/04/2010 5100.00
IBREALEST FS XX 1300 145.1 146.5
29/04/2010 -0.01


TODO:-

1. Buy puts on rally, sell stock futures, Call spread ratio if 5350 is hit for 5400-5500
2. On fall, put spread ratio for 5100-5000 or 5100-4900
3. Swap IBreal and Moserbaer with some high weight NIFTY stock futures at a good level.

Thursday, March 11, 2010

11 March 2010 (Bulls are back)


Nifty Closed with a Huge Rally in the last 5 minutes (Closed up 32 points)

Trades done:-

--5100-5200 1/2 Call spread
1. Bought 50 5100 Mar Nifty Calls @ 90
2. Sold 100 5200 Mar Nifty Calls @ 39.4

5200-5000 1/4 Put spread
3. Bought 50 March Nifty 5200 Put @ 118
4. Sold 200 March Nifty 4900 Puts @ 20.4




P&L Payoff at Expiration Matrix
Underlying Price
P&L
4,634
-24,710.00
4,734
-4,710.00
4,834
15,290.00
4,934
28,490.00
5,034
26,790.00
5,134
23,490.00
5,234
8,190.00
5,334
-36,810.00
5,434
-81,810.00
5,534
-126,810.00
5,634
-171,810.00


I'm now good in the range of 4840 - 5250 (400 points !! )


On the upside, I'm leaning on the Stock futures while on the downside, we're good until 4800. Although, if Stock futures are not sold by then, it will be sucking out some of the margin hence need to hedge more of downside. At this point we're on a bull rally, hence taking some risk on the downside.


Best PNL right now is from 4850 to 5080 (For the NIFTY-50)



Security
Net Qty
Open Rate
Net Rate
LTP

MOSERBAE FS XX
4950
76.55
76.55
79.9
25/03/2010 -0.01

NIFTY OI PE
-50
107
107
87.5
29/04/2010 5000.00

NIFTY OI PE
-200
20.45
20.45
12.3
25/03/2010 4900.00

NIFTY OI PE
50
118
118
87.5
25/03/2010 5200.00

NIFTY OI CE
-500
39.02
39.1
49.25
25/03/2010 5200.00

NIFTY OI CE
50
0
90
104.5
25/03/2010 5100.00

IBREALEST FS XX
1300
153.6
153.6
176.5
25/03/2010 -0.01

TODOs:-

On Rally:-
1. Sell Stock futures and Buy NIFTY downside puts.

On Fall:-
1. Nothing until 4800 where we hedge Nifty short Deltas using futures.


Monday, March 8, 2010

08-03-2010

NIFTY Closing:- 5124 (Up 35.30)


Trades:-
Bought 50 Mar NIFTY 5100 Puts @ 76
Sold 50 Apr NIFTY 5000 Puts @ 107



Final Position:-

ContractQuantityExecuted PriceLast traded price
NIFTY 5000 April Put-50107105.50
NIFTY 5100 March Put507672.35
NIFTY 5000 March Put-10066.0541.30
NIFTY 5200 March Call-40039.0241.80
Moserbaer Mar Future495083.5081.40
IBReal Mar Future1300200.30174.30




Friday, March 5, 2010

05-03-2010. End of Week

Was a good week on the whole.

Market stayed flat again today, i.e. Free money in the bank. Vols were low. 14 trading days to expiry. Will be looking forward to buying some puts on a rally and buying some futures on a fall.

Squarred off the RNRL Futures position with a decent profit and we're now open on more margin.

Thursday, March 4, 2010

04-03-2010

-No change in positions.

-Market closed Flat.

-Gained on Theta
-Increase in Volatility today, hence lost on Vega
-Delay in Beta gains. Gained on Stock Futures M2M (almost 3-5% rise on all3 stock futures). - Almost 40k up on unrealized PnL.

-An OK day with lots of action in the market but nothing to do (which is good).

-Saw a good Resistance at 5085 today, but does look like it can be easily breached.

Wednesday, March 3, 2010

03-03-2010

It was a cosistent Bull rally today.

1. We had the BSE Sensex touching 17000
2. Nifty ended up 72 pts at 5089.

Position before trading:-

SHORT 50 NIFTY 4700 April Puts
SHORT 200 NIFTY 5100 March calls




Positon After trading:-

SHORT 100 NIFTY 5000 March Puts (Sq. off April puts and lowered spread)
SHORT 400 NIFTY 5200 March Calls (Spread widening. Sq off 5100 upper limit)

The Spread for March is now 5000-5200 with Breakeven at 4950 and 5240.

On the Stocks, the BETA did not really prove very useful this time.

Long Stock Futures:-

1. IBReal (1300)
2. RNRL (3576)
3. MoserBaer (4950)


Got a bit nailed on the margin today since I had to adjust position due to a rally (Loss on 5100 calls and had to sell 5200 calls at a higher price i.e. more margin deducted).


Plan is to unwind some stock futures at a rally to make up for margin and be able to adjust position if 5150 is broken.

At the downside, we have some room to adjust lower range upto 4700.